MLB Draft Extra Credit: Keith Law’s Thoughts Through Dodgers’ No. 1 Pick


The first round ended with the No. 30 pick, but the Dodgers didn’t make their first pick until the start of the second round at No. 40. Here are my thoughts on compensation picks, the competitive balance of round pick A and the Dodgers. first pick in the draft.

You can find all of my thoughts on the first round here, along with highlights from our live coverage of Day 1 of the 2022 MLB Draft.

31. Colorado Rockies: Sterling Thompson, OF/2B, Florida

#19 on the Grand Board

The Rockies took one of the best hitters in the college class in Thompson, who turned 21 just weeks ago, making him a draft-eligible sophomore. Scouts love his swing and he’s struck a good balance of contact and double power, showing he could hit an SEC-quality pitch this spring for the Gators. The biggest question about Thompson is his position, as he played a lot of second base this year and wasn’t half bad, although defense matters a lot in Colorado. If he can’t stay there, he’s played the outside corners and can end up at first base.

32. Cincinnati Reds: Sal Stewart, 3B/1B, Westminster Christian High (Miami)

#59 on the Great Council

The Reds went with a high school first baseman, though at least they did it with their second pick rather than their first, mitigating the risk somewhat. He’s also the first to strike, with a very quiet approach and excellent terrain recognition, including very little out-of-area hunting. He’s built like a puncher but doesn’t have that kind of raw power or play yet, and may need to adjust his swing to get more power out of his bottom half. He is attached to Vanderbilt.

33. Baltimore Orioles: Dylan Beavers, OF, CA

#51 on the Great Council

The Beavers are a solid power play for Baltimore with their second pick, a raw college hitter with the athleticism to be a more right-field defender, but has something of a hitch in his swing that could limit his ability. to hit for average. He actually played center field and could play pro ball, but given his size and frame, he’s more likely to end up on the right. I thought the first round was overkill for him with the hitting tool issues – and he only hit .297 this spring, with .427 on-base percentage and .634 hitting percentage – but for a second choice, it’s an excellent bet.

34. Arizona Diamonds: Landon Sims, RHP, Mississippi St.

No. 69 on the Great Council

The Sims may have been the unluckiest player in this draft class. Just when he seemed headed for a top-10 selection, his elbow blew out, and with it his first-round chances and much of the feeling he could be a starter. He’s primarily a one-pitch guy and was completely dominant as a reliever for Mississippi State in 2021. The D-Backs could fire him as a starter to see if the secondary stuff comes with more use, or let it go. the simply be a dominant reliever in the minor lows and develop it that way.

35. Atlanta: Ian Ritchie, RHP, Bainbridge (Wash.) High

No. 21 on the Great Council

With the pick acquired in a trade to the Royals earlier this month, Atlanta took Ritchie, a first-round talent in my opinion but who most people thought wouldn’t be signable due to his commitment to UCLA. Ritchie has a great delivery, a good feel already for his breaking ball and a switch with a crossfade. And it still delivers a projection that should pick up speed to the mid-90s over time. I didn’t like Atlanta’s first-round pick Murphy, but I think he got some first-round talent here with Ritchie.

36. Pittsburgh Pirates: Thomas Harrington, RHP, Campbell

No. 36 on the Great Council

The Pirates take a safe but good college arm in Harrington, first-round teammate Neto. Harrington is a commanding right-hander with three throws of 50 or 55, although he saw that dwindle in late spring. It never walks anyone around and can feel a few puffs on the slider and shift, which isn’t even really anymore. He looks like someone who can get to Double A pretty quickly, how badly he might need to improve on one of those three throws to get to a real swing and miss a bid.

37. Cleveland Guardians: Justin Campbell, RHP, Oklahoma State

No. 39 on the big board

The Guardians take a college arm from Campbell, a hitter with a plus change and slow curveball that has good spin and depth. His fastball is already below average for a right-hander at 90-92 mph, and it works every seven days rather than every five, which may prevent him from remaining a long-term starter unless it’s s ‘improved.

38. Colorado Rockies: Jordan Beck, OF, Tennessee

No. 14 on the Great Council

Beck is a very Rockies pick – an athletic outfielder with plenty of development still ahead of him. He played right field for Tennessee this year because they had a center fielder more in Gilbert, but I think Beck could handle center and should come out there. He’ll show good batting speed and more power, but also more swing and miss than you’d expect in your first pick — since he’s the Rockies’ third pick, though, I’ll allow it.

39. San Diego Padres: Robby Snelling, LHP, McQueen High (Reno, NV)

No. 31 on the Great Council

Snelling was a big student this spring among the high school pitching crop, and I figured he’d go somewhere in the first round given the affinity scouts had for his combination of extreme athleticism, tough giveaways and a delivery that the majority of them really liked. . He mainly plays fastball/broken pitch now so he’ll have to develop a third pitch but he didn’t pitch as many guys in the class because he was also a star quarterback in another sport .

40. Los Angeles Dodgers: Dalton Rushing, C, Louisville

No. 41 on the Great Council

The Dodgers’ first pick was pushed back 10 spots because they signed Freddie Freeman, pushing them to 40th overall. They landed Rushing, who was best known as Henry Davis’ backup in Louisville until this year, when Rushing was able to catch semi-regularly and hit 23 homers while walking 50. He’s a work in progress behind the plate, but if he stays there he could be a regular with power and decent OBPs despite low batting averages.

(Photo by Dalton Rushing: Chris Jones/USA Today Sports)


About Author

Comments are closed.